H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Flood Map ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened decently given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a hurricane on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has become less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system assistance is now suggesting that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a big and very powerful cyclone that triggered enormous damage and considerable death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane warnings have actually now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a typhoon that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists previously alerted hurricanes could form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most major threats and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy